Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.0%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 69.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 63.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Schenn
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schenn
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
52.9% (870)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
53.5% (43)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
46.2% (143)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Schenn
Zibanejad
Home
51.1% (575)
55.1% (501)
Away
53.4% (607)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Schenn
Zibanejad
P1
51.4%
57.5%
P2
52.7%
50.7%
P3
52.7%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |