Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 75.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Schenn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schenn
Bjugstad
Last 6: Schenn 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
0
Schenn
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Schenn
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Schenn
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
49.4% (867)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
56.0% (25)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
40.7% (216)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Schenn
Bjugstad
Home
46.8% (494)
46.5% (480)
Away
46.3% (520)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Schenn
Bjugstad
P1
50.3%
48.7%
P2
47.0%
45.6%
P3
42.2%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |