Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 63.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Schenn
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Schenn
Schmaltz
Last 6: Schenn 3-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
48.1% (268)
+4.1%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
50.5% (91)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
58.8% (17)
-1.4%
On even strength, Schenn has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Schenn
Schmaltz
Home
51.1% (575)
49.0% (206)
Away
53.4% (607)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Schenn
Schmaltz
P1
51.4%
53.6%
P2
52.7%
46.2%
P3
52.7%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |