Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.4%). Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Philp 48.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.5%
Defensive zone
Philp 62.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.4%
Result
Noah Philp favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Schenn
Philp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schenn
Philp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Philp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Philp
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Philp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Philp
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
50.0% (204)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
33.3% (21)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Philp shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Philp is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Schenn
Philp
Home
49.7% (5,030)
52.6% (97)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
45.3% (128)
By Period
Schenn
Philp
P1
48.7%
50.8%
P2
48.6%
48.9%
P3
48.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |