Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 94.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 57.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 79.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Schenn
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Schenn
Gaustad
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
4
Schenn
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Schenn
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
58.2% (4,334)
-10.2%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
65.4% (188)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gaustad
Home
49.7% (5,030)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Schenn
Gaustad
P1
48.7%
58.2%
P2
48.6%
56.4%
P3
48.3%
58.3%
OT
50.9%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |