Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.8% vs Carpenter 52.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 61.1%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 65.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Schenn
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Schenn
Carpenter
Last 7: Schenn 4-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Schenn
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (609)
53.6% (267)
-7.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
28.6% (7)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
50.0% (32)
+1.6%
On power play, Schenn has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Schenn is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Schenn shoots left. Carpenter is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carpenter
Home
45.7% (361)
47.6% (145)
Away
49.5% (319)
57.1% (161)
By Period
Schenn
Carpenter
P1
54.6%
51.7%
P2
41.0%
47.6%
P3
46.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |