Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Donato 44.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 58.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 55.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Schenn
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Schenn
Donato
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
0
Schenn
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
3
7
Schenn
Donato
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Schenn
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
44.0% (1,218)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
46.0% (248)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
41.7% (12)
+6.5%
On power play, Schenn has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Schenn
Donato
Home
49.7% (5,075)
47.2% (743)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Schenn
Donato
P1
48.8%
43.8%
P2
48.6%
44.9%
P3
48.3%
43.7%
OT
50.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |