Brayden Schenn vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 70.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 63.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 68.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (505)
47.6% (189)
+3.7%
Power Play
63.6% (99)
100.0% (2)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
77.8% (18)
29.4% (17)
+48.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schenn is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Schenn shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.8% (331)
48.5% (132)
Away
54.3% (291)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.6%
51.4%
P2
52.7%
41.3%
P3
60.3%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |