Brayden Schenn vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 55.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 56.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 61.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
47.6% (231)
+3.6%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
83.3% (12)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
33.3% (21)
+39.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.0% (367)
51.2% (164)
Away
53.3% (375)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.6%
50.0%
P2
52.0%
46.2%
P3
59.0%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |