Brayden Schenn vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
52.1% (351)
-2.5%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
57.1% (14)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
35.9% (39)
-2.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schenn is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Schenn shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.5% (333)
50.0% (198)
Away
47.8% (381)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.3%
52.1%
P2
52.2%
48.8%
P3
46.5%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2019 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 18, 2019 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 18, 2019 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 18, 2019 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |