Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.1%). Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Oshie 47.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 74.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 86.2%
Neutral zone
Oshie 55.7%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Schenn
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Oshie
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
3
Schenn
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Oshie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Schenn
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
48.3% (29)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
46.3% (149)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
0.0% (2)
+46.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Schenn
Oshie
Home
46.8% (494)
55.9% (93)
Away
46.3% (520)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Schenn
Oshie
P1
50.3%
50.9%
P2
47.0%
42.9%
P3
42.2%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |