Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Thompson 45.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 80.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 78.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 80.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Schenn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Schenn
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
44.9% (642)
+6.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
47.9% (94)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
33.3% (33)
+39.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Schenn
Thompson
Home
54.0% (367)
46.0% (391)
Away
53.3% (375)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Schenn
Thompson
P1
48.6%
48.1%
P2
52.0%
44.9%
P3
59.0%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |