Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Thompson 43.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 67.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 58.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Schenn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Thompson
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
43.3% (735)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
50.0% (26)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
36.5% (52)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Schenn
Thompson
Home
46.8% (494)
44.5% (407)
Away
46.3% (520)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Schenn
Thompson
P1
50.3%
44.4%
P2
47.0%
44.8%
P3
42.2%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |