Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Howden 49.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 51.9%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 63.5%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 58.2%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Gaunce
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaunce
Howden
Last 5: Gaunce 3-2 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaunce
Howden
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
49.6% (2,905)
+2.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.5% (111)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
43.2% (315)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Howden
Home
49.9% (525)
48.4% (1,608)
Away
54.5% (470)
49.6% (1,723)
By Period
Gaunce
Howden
P1
53.6%
49.5%
P2
47.4%
48.0%
P3
55.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |