Brendan Gaunce vs Casey Mittelstadt
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Mittelstadt 47.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 62.1%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 88.6%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 87.1%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
Last 8: Gaunce 7-1 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
0
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
46.4% (935)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.3% (173)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (16)
+0.0%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Gaunce shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
Home
51.4% (107)
47.7% (583)
Away
57.3% (75)
46.4% (541)
By Period
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
P1
63.4%
50.0%
P2
46.3%
46.2%
P3
55.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |