Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Tierney 47.9% (+11.9%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 50.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 56.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 58.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Gaunce
Tierney
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
46.6% (193)
+9.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
47.5% (40)
+32.5%
On power play, Gaunce has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Gaunce is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Gaunce shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Tierney
Home
59.0% (39)
47.9% (121)
Away
58.8% (17)
46.1% (115)
By Period
Gaunce
Tierney
P1
50.0%
44.1%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
68.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
68.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%