Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Giroux 60.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 88.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 69.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 65.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Gaunce
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaunce
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
60.3% (395)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
67.3% (107)
-67.3%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
65.4% (153)
-13.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +67.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Giroux
Home
54.8% (93)
65.9% (337)
Away
59.1% (88)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Gaunce
Giroux
P1
62.3%
62.1%
P2
48.1%
64.5%
P3
59.5%
60.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |