Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Finley 48.8% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Finley 54.5%
Defensive zone
Finley 52.6%
Neutral zone
Finley 52.2%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Gaunce
Finley
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
47.3% (239)
+10.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (14)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
57.7% (26)
-5.7%
On power play, Finley has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Finley
Home
54.8% (93)
50.0% (162)
Away
59.1% (88)
46.2% (117)
By Period
Gaunce
Finley
P1
62.3%
53.2%
P2
48.1%
44.6%
P3
59.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%