Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.1%). Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaunce wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Letestu 52.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Gaunce leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 59.7%
Defensive zone
Letestu 52.5%
Neutral zone
Letestu 55.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Gaunce
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Gaunce
Letestu
Last 10: Gaunce 5-5 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
1
Gaunce
Letestu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
4
Gaunce
Letestu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
53.3% (4,565)
-1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
56.0% (687)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
44.2% (1,005)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Gaunce shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Letestu
Home
49.9% (525)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
54.5% (470)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Gaunce
Letestu
P1
53.6%
51.5%
P2
47.4%
55.0%
P3
55.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |