Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.3%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Monahan 51.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.3%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 74.7%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 56.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Gaunce
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Gaunce
Monahan
Last 10: Gaunce 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Gaunce
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Gaunce
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
2
Gaunce
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
51.1% (11,356)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
53.7% (2,580)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
46.0% (766)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Monahan
Home
49.9% (525)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
54.5% (470)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Gaunce
Monahan
P1
53.6%
50.9%
P2
47.4%
51.7%
P3
55.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |