Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 50.3%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 63.5%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 63.1%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Gaunce
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Gaunce
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Gaunce
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Gaunce
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
57.1% (871)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.1% (262)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.6% (139)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Gaunce shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Monahan
Home
51.4% (107)
55.3% (644)
Away
57.3% (75)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Gaunce
Monahan
P1
63.4%
53.9%
P2
46.3%
55.3%
P3
55.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
58.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |