Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaunce wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 47.8% vs Monahan 50.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.9%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 86.6%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 62.2%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Gaunce
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Gaunce
Monahan
Last 6: Gaunce 1-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Gaunce
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (57)
51.0% (1,063)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
40.0% (30)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaunce is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Gaunce shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Monahan
Home
48.1% (54)
53.8% (705)
Away
40.0% (30)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Gaunce
Monahan
P1
32.1%
47.3%
P2
62.5%
53.9%
P3
37.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
45.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |