Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaunce wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Tynan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Tynan 43.2% (+19.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 65.8%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 91.5%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 84.1%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Gaunce
Tynan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaunce
Tynan
Last 7: Gaunce 5-2 Tynan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
2
Gaunce
Tynan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce
Tynan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Tynan
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
31.1% (61)
+20.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
100.0% (1)
-44.4%
On power play, Tynan has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tynan shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Gaunce shoots left. Tynan is 28.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Tynan
Home
49.9% (525)
29.2% (24)
Away
54.5% (470)
34.2% (38)
By Period
Gaunce
Tynan
P1
53.6%
17.4%
P2
47.4%
42.9%
P3
55.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Tynan
36.0%▲
32.3%
32.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | T.J. Tynan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | T.J. Tynan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |