Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Burns wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burns 47.2% vs Benn 52.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 53.3%
Defensive zone
Burns 79.0%
Neutral zone
Burns 61.0%
Result
Brent Burns favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Burns
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Burns
Benn
Last 6: Burns 2-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Burns
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Burns
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Burns
Benn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burns
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (126)
53.5% (6,450)
-6.7%
Power Play
33.3% (21)
52.5% (2,054)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
49.3% (515)
+17.4%
On power play, Benn has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Burns is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Burns shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Home / Away
Burns
Benn
Home
43.3% (90)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
48.3% (60)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Burns
Benn
P1
38.3%
51.9%
P2
45.3%
52.6%
P3
52.2%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
62.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burns
48.0%▲
45.3%
45.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Brent Burns |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | Brent Burns |