Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burns 48.1% vs Berglund 47.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 56.4%
Defensive zone
Berglund 51.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 50.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Burns
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Burns
Berglund
Last 6: Burns 3-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burns
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burns
1
0
Burns
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Burns
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burns
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (112)
47.7% (641)
+1.4%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
59.7% (67)
-28.1%
On power play, Berglund has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Burns is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Burns shoots right. Berglund is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Burns
Berglund
Home
46.2% (78)
50.2% (422)
Away
47.2% (53)
44.6% (361)
By Period
Burns
Berglund
P1
39.0%
43.8%
P2
48.0%
46.3%
P3
51.4%
53.1%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
69.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burns
48.0%▲
45.3%
46.6%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Brent Burns |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Brent Burns |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Brent Burns |