Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.8% vs 40.4%). Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boeser shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Boeser 42.0% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Boeser 50.9%
Defensive zone
Boeser 57.3%
Neutral zone
Boeser 52.7%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Connolly
Boeser
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Boeser
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
40.1% (436)
+0.1%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
41.9% (43)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boeser shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Boeser is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Connolly
Boeser
Home
42.6% (129)
41.6% (238)
Away
39.4% (160)
39.2% (245)
By Period
Connolly
Boeser
P1
41.8%
37.6%
P2
40.0%
42.4%
P3
40.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Boeser
48.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%