Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.8% vs 39.9%). Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boeser shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Boeser 41.6% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Boeser 51.3%
Defensive zone
Boeser 54.5%
Neutral zone
Boeser 52.7%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Connolly
Boeser
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Boeser
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
39.6% (442)
+0.6%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
41.9% (43)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boeser shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Boeser is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Connolly
Boeser
Home
42.6% (129)
40.9% (242)
Away
39.4% (160)
38.9% (247)
By Period
Connolly
Boeser
P1
41.8%
37.2%
P2
40.0%
42.0%
P3
40.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
39.9%