Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.8% vs 41.1%). Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Necas 41.9% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 58.0%
Defensive zone
Necas 58.0%
Neutral zone
Necas 52.9%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Connolly
Necas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
40.7% (797)
-0.5%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
40.0% (135)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Necas is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Connolly
Necas
Home
42.6% (129)
39.2% (492)
Away
39.4% (160)
43.0% (477)
By Period
Connolly
Necas
P1
41.8%
39.9%
P2
40.0%
40.6%
P3
40.6%
43.3%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%