Brett Connolly vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 55.7%
Defensive zone
Connolly 54.4%
Neutral zone
Connolly 51.6%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Connolly
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
41.1% (3,218)
-0.9%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
47.3% (637)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.2% (125)
+2.8%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Connolly
Schmaltz
Home
42.6% (129)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
39.4% (160)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Connolly
Schmaltz
P1
41.8%
41.1%
P2
40.0%
42.6%
P3
40.6%
43.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%