Brett Connolly vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 55.4%
Defensive zone
Connolly 53.6%
Neutral zone
Connolly 50.3%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Connolly
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
41.2% (3,399)
-1.0%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
47.1% (649)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.8% (134)
+2.2%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Home / Away
Connolly
Schmaltz
Home
42.6% (129)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
39.4% (160)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Connolly
Schmaltz
P1
41.8%
41.1%
P2
40.0%
42.9%
P3
40.6%
43.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%