Scouting Report
Brett Connolly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Vanek shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Vanek 41.7% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Vanek 50.5%
Defensive zone
Connolly 52.2%
Neutral zone
Vanek 50.6%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Connolly
Vanek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Vanek
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
37.7% (146)
+2.5%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
36.1% (61)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Vanek has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vanek shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Vanek is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Connolly
Vanek
Home
42.6% (129)
39.6% (111)
Away
39.4% (160)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Connolly
Vanek
P1
41.8%
32.1%
P2
40.0%
40.9%
P3
40.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Vanek
28.0%▼
38.5%
37.7%