Brett Howden vs Chandler Stephenson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Stephenson 51.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 60.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Howden
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Stephenson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Stephenson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Stephenson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
51.2% (1,041)
+2.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
57.8% (211)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
47.7% (222)
+0.4%
On power play, Stephenson has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Howden
Stephenson
Home
48.8% (258)
52.2% (751)
Away
56.6% (258)
51.0% (723)
By Period
Howden
Stephenson
P1
54.0%
50.4%
P2
53.2%
51.5%
P3
50.9%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |