Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.0% vs Giroux 60.9% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 90.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 92.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 88.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Howden
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Howden
Giroux
Last 5: Howden 0-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Howden
Giroux
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Howden
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
3
Howden
Giroux
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (380)
60.3% (395)
-10.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
67.3% (107)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
65.4% (153)
-17.1%
On power play, Giroux has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Howden is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Howden shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Howden
Giroux
Home
47.7% (195)
65.9% (337)
Away
52.0% (229)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Howden
Giroux
P1
50.7%
62.1%
P2
52.0%
64.5%
P3
48.4%
60.9%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.0%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 03:44 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |