Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Giroux 60.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 88.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 91.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 88.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Howden
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Howden
Giroux
Last 5: Howden 0-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Howden
Giroux
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Howden
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
3
Howden
Giroux
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
60.3% (395)
-9.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
67.3% (107)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
65.4% (153)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Howden
Giroux
Home
47.7% (195)
65.9% (337)
Away
52.8% (233)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Howden
Giroux
P1
51.1%
62.1%
P2
52.6%
64.5%
P3
48.8%
60.9%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 03:44 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |