Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Schwindt 49.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 63.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 60.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.4%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Howden
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Howden
Schwindt
Last 5: Howden 5-0 Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Schwindt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Schwindt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Schwindt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
48.1% (370)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
66.7% (6)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
56.3% (16)
-13.1%
On power play, Schwindt has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Schwindt is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Howden
Schwindt
Home
48.4% (1,608)
45.5% (213)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Howden
Schwindt
P1
49.5%
51.8%
P2
48.0%
48.6%
P3
49.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Brett Howden |