Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Blackwell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Blackwell 49.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 76.0%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 63.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 63.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Howden
Blackwell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
Blackwell
Last 5: Howden 3-2 Blackwell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Blackwell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
0
1
Howden
Blackwell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Blackwell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
48.4% (184)
+5.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
66.7% (3)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
49.6% (121)
-1.5%
On power play, Blackwell has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Howden
Blackwell
Home
48.8% (258)
41.7% (151)
Away
56.6% (258)
56.1% (157)
By Period
Howden
Blackwell
P1
54.0%
46.5%
P2
53.2%
52.4%
P3
50.9%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Brett Howden |