Brett Howden vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 74.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 67.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Howden
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Howden
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
49.2% (858)
+4.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
39.0% (41)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
46.0% (198)
+2.1%
On even strength, Howden has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Howden
Gaudreau
Home
48.8% (258)
47.1% (546)
Away
56.6% (258)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Howden
Gaudreau
P1
54.0%
46.8%
P2
53.2%
46.8%
P3
50.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |