Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 79.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Howden
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Howden
Carter
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Howden
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
53.3% (8,728)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
57.3% (1,554)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
46.3% (1,087)
-3.1%
On power play, Carter has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Howden
Carter
Home
48.4% (1,608)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Howden
Carter
P1
49.5%
53.6%
P2
48.0%
52.8%
P3
49.9%
53.1%
OT
39.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |