Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Carter 60.1% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 76.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 72.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 76.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Howden
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Howden
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
65.6% (262)
-18.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
68.3% (63)
-46.1%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
50.5% (99)
-24.6%
On power play, Carter has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Howden
Carter
Home
44.3% (176)
64.3% (207)
Away
45.8% (190)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Howden
Carter
P1
43.1%
65.3%
P2
43.1%
60.1%
P3
48.1%
63.8%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |