Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Veleno 47.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 52.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Howden
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Howden
Veleno
Last 9: Howden 5-4 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Howden
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
47.3% (2,317)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
51.0% (98)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
36.4% (88)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Home / Away
Howden
Veleno
Home
48.2% (1,630)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
48.6% (1,367)
By Period
Howden
Veleno
P1
49.5%
47.9%
P2
47.9%
47.7%
P3
49.8%
45.9%
OT
35.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |