Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Howden wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Wallmark 50.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Wallmark leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 56.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 59.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Howden
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Howden
Wallmark
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
4
Howden
Wallmark
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
3
Howden
Wallmark
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
5
Howden
Wallmark
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
50.2% (633)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
71.9% (32)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
43.2% (88)
+9.8%
On power play, Wallmark has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Howden is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Howden shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Howden
Wallmark
Home
44.8% (268)
48.6% (368)
Away
51.8% (253)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Howden
Wallmark
P1
51.6%
49.0%
P2
43.7%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Brett Howden |