Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Wallmark leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 57.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 55.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Howden
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Howden
Wallmark
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
4
Howden
Wallmark
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
3
Howden
Wallmark
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
5
Howden
Wallmark
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
50.5% (1,852)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
56.3% (103)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
44.9% (216)
-1.7%
On power play, Wallmark has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Howden
Wallmark
Home
48.4% (1,608)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Howden
Wallmark
P1
49.5%
51.4%
P2
48.0%
50.8%
P3
49.9%
48.7%
OT
39.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |