Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Reichel 45.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 70.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.0%
Neutral zone
Reichel 51.8%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Howden
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Howden
Reichel
Last 8: Howden 2-6 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
2
Howden
Reichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
4
Howden
Reichel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
43.5% (170)
+3.8%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
50.0% (24)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
0.0% (4)
+25.9%
On power play, Reichel has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Reichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Howden
Reichel
Home
44.3% (176)
45.7% (81)
Away
45.8% (190)
41.9% (117)
By Period
Howden
Reichel
P1
43.1%
48.4%
P2
43.1%
34.3%
P3
48.1%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |