Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Kunin 47.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 59.6%
Defensive zone
Kunin 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 59.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Howden
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
2
Howden
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Howden
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
46.4% (276)
+7.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.0% (30)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
47.8% (92)
+0.3%
On power play, Kunin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Howden
Kunin
Home
48.8% (258)
45.9% (194)
Away
56.6% (258)
48.0% (204)
By Period
Howden
Kunin
P1
54.0%
43.2%
P2
53.2%
46.3%
P3
50.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |