Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 79.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Howden
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Howden
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
46.5% (878)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
48.3% (174)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
50.0% (54)
-1.7%
On power play, Howden has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Howden
Scheifele
Home
47.7% (195)
46.2% (571)
Away
52.8% (233)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Howden
Scheifele
P1
51.1%
51.9%
P2
52.6%
45.6%
P3
48.8%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |