Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 69.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Howden
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Howden
Scheifele
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Howden
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Howden
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
48.7% (981)
+4.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
53.2% (250)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
43.2% (37)
+4.9%
On power play, Scheifele has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Howden
Scheifele
Home
48.8% (258)
50.0% (672)
Away
56.6% (258)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Howden
Scheifele
P1
54.0%
51.4%
P2
53.2%
45.1%
P3
50.9%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |