Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.7%). Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Domi 48.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 64.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 63.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Howden
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Howden
Domi
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
7
Howden
Domi
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
6
2
Howden
Domi
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Howden
Domi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,882)
48.2% (4,232)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (104)
52.7% (622)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (310)
48.8% (41)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,137).
Howden shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,287).
Home / Away
Howden
Domi
Home
48.4% (1,587)
49.7% (2,572)
Away
49.6% (1,709)
47.7% (2,323)
By Period
Howden
Domi
P1
49.7%
48.8%
P2
47.7%
48.0%
P3
49.9%
49.8%
OT
39.3%
42.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |