Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Thompson 54.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 67.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 86.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 74.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Howden
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Howden
Thompson
Last 8: Howden 5-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
55.8% (654)
-8.8%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
50.0% (10)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
51.2% (123)
+1.8%
On even strength, Thompson has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Howden is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
44.8% (268)
57.0% (421)
Away
51.8% (253)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
51.6%
57.9%
P2
43.7%
52.3%
P3
50.0%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Brett Howden |