Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Thompson 52.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 85.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Howden
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Howden
Thompson
Last 8: Howden 5-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
54.1% (5,812)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
54.8% (135)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
47.9% (1,381)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
48.4% (1,608)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
49.5%
53.2%
P2
48.0%
52.9%
P3
49.9%
52.8%
OT
39.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Brett Howden |