Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Dowd 51.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 59.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Howden
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Howden
Dowd
Last 9: Howden 7-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
0
Howden
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
51.2% (381)
-2.9%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
100.0% (2)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
53.9% (89)
-12.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Howden is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Howden shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Howden
Dowd
Home
52.0% (304)
54.6% (218)
Away
45.9% (425)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Howden
Dowd
P1
48.7%
50.6%
P2
48.1%
55.1%
P3
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Brett Howden |