Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 79.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Howden
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Howden
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Howden
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
55.2% (625)
-1.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.1% (7)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
38.2% (220)
-18.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Howden is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Howden shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Howden
Dowd
Home
55.2% (96)
53.7% (445)
Away
48.9% (131)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Howden
Dowd
P1
42.0%
48.8%
P2
55.8%
49.3%
P3
55.6%
54.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Brett Howden |